A few weeks ago I surveyed the major contenders be named for Barack Obama\u2019s running mate and concluded that he will likely select a popular Governor in a swing state. Why a governor? Because anything associated with Washington, D.C. is toxic. President Bush\u2019s popularity is in the 20s and the popular rating for Congress is 9 percent!<\/p>\n
Since both Barack Obama and John McCain are themselves senators (though neither is known as an insider), they both need running mates who represent a break with Washington, D.C. as it exists today. Here are the leading candidates for the second spot on the Republican ticket:<\/p>\n
\u2022 Mitt Romney. Everything Romney has done in life he\u2019s done well at – except running for president, where he flopped (mainly because he flip-flopped). Some conservatives see him as the next Reagan, though Reagan was more of a philosophical conservative than either Romney or McCain. The former Massacusetts governor is whip-smart, articulate and will have no problem helping the ticket raise money. Main drawbacks: In some ways he is similar to President Bush – son of a former candidate for president (George Romney was Michigan governor in the \u201960s), Ivy League-educated, comfortable in the corporate world, a former governor, etc. If he\u2019s not McCain\u2019s VP, he would be a leading contender to be his Treasury secretary.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Mike Huckabee. No one did more with less in the 2008 race for president than Mike Huckabee. The former Arkansas governor would bring geographical and cultural balance to the ticket, and would help secure the South. His drawbacks: Unless McCain does something really dumb, he\u2019s going to win the South anyway. McCain needs to inspire the conservative base of his party and do better in swing states. Other candidates could do a better job at both than Huckabee, a pro-life moderate.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal. His resume blows Barack Obama\u2019s away. A Rhodes Scholar who turned down offers to attend Harvard and Yale, Jindal headed Louisiana\u2019s Medicare system and served as president of the state\u2019s university system before he was 30. He lost an agonizingly close race for governor in 2003, served in Congress, and won his second race for governor easily in 2007. A Catholic convert (his parents who came here from India, are Hindu), he is a practical but philosophical conservative. Drawbacks: Born in 1971, he is nearly a decade younger than Barack Obama.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Tim Pawlenty. At 48, Pawlenty has been governor of Minnesota, a key swing state, for five years. The son of a milkman whose mother died when he was a teenager, Pawlenty is widely viewed as a \u201csafe\u201d choice for McCain. Drawbacks: Can McCain afford to play it safe?<\/p>\n
\u2022 Kay Bailey Hutchison. Major asset: She is a she. Major Drawback: She is a Texan in a year where it doesn\u2019t help to be from Texas.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Charlie Crist. Looking older than his 52 years, Crist is the popular governor of one of the biggest swing state of them all: Florida. He also was a strong and early backer of John McCain. Drawbacks: Doesn\u2019t create much buzz and excitement in a year when McCain will need both.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Rob Portman. A highly intelligent former Congressman who has held two Cabinet posts, Portman is a youthful 53 and comes from the all important state of Ohio. Drawbacks: A D.C. insider in a year where people want a break with the status quo.<\/p>\n
Predictions: Either Romney, Pawlenty or Jindal. If the consultants and money people have their way, it\u2019ll be Romney. If the grassroots have their way, McCain will double down with Jindal. And if he opts to play it safe, it\u2019ll be Pawlenty.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
John Carlson hosts a daily radio program with KOMO4\u2019s Ken Schram each weekday at 3 p.m. on AM 570 KVI. He also broadcasts daily radio commentary on KOMO 1000 news. E-mail him at jcarlson@fisherradio.com.<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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